Introduction to Disease Outbreaks
This BioDT use case covers Wild boar–African Swine Fever (ASF) modelling is one of two Use Cases under the Disease Outbreaks umbrella and with the Pollinators model will populate and demonstrate this part of the Biodiversity Digital Twin.
The purpose of this use case is to inform data-driven responses for the management of the spread of wildlife diseases, specifically African swine fever (ASF). The model is intended to be dynamic – with each detection of the target pathogen in the wildlife population, the model is updated and rerun to produce more robust predictions including spatial mapping of risk, size and timeline of affected host(s), effectiveness of spatially-explicit control measures, and routine update of most suitable response. Although there are multiple potential stakeholders and user groups, the target audience for the initial BioDT application is limited to decision makers and people involved in decision support.